Background
Cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) in the tumour microenvironment are associated with poor prognosis and chemoresistance in multiple solid tumours. However, there is a lack of universal measures of CAFs in colorectal cancer (CRC). The aim of this study was to assess the utility of a fibroblast-related gene signature (FRGS) for predicting patient outcomes and reveal its relevant mechanism.
Methods
The GSE39582 dataset, which includes 316 CRC patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy was used as a discovery cohort to identify the prognostic fibroblast-related genes (FRGs). A total of 1352 CRC patients were divided into one training cohort (GSE39582, n = 461) and two validation cohorts (TCGA, n = 338; meta-validation, n = 553) for the construction of the FRGS and the verification of its prognostic value in stage II/III CRC patients. Functional annotation and analysis were performed to explore the underlying mechanism. The ability of the FRGS to predict immunotherapy response was further tested in a clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) cohort.
Results
An 11-gene signature that had prognostic value for stage II/III CRC patients in both validation cohorts was developed [TCGA cohort: HR = 1.90, 95% CI 1.16-3.12, P < 0.01; meta-validation cohort: HR = 1.95, 95% CI 1.39-2.73, P < 0.001)]. A high level of CAFs was correlated with worse prognosis in CRC patients who did not receive adjuvant chemotherapy ([HR = 3.63, 95% CI 2.24-5.88, P < 0.001]). Importantly, patients in the low-risk group were found to be benefit from chemotherapy (P < 0.01), but not in the high CAF group (P > 0.05). Similar results were found in the TCGA cohort. Integrated with clinical characteristics, the FRGS was confirmed to be an independent prognostic factor in the multivariate analysis after adjustment for tumour TNM stage ([GSE39582 cohort: HR = 3.19, 95% CI 1.88-5.41, P < 0.001; TCGA cohort: HR = 5.00, 95% CI 1.58-15.85, P = 0.007; meta-validation cohort: HR = 2.99, 95% CI 1.44-6.21, P = 0.003)]. Furthermore, the enrichment analysis found that the antitumour immune response was suppressed and the infiltration of CD4 T cells and M1 macrophages was depressed in the high CAF group. The FRGS was also found to have value in predicting for immunotherapy response in the ccRCC cohort.
Conclusions
The 11-gene FRGS had independent prognostic value for CRC patients, as well as utility in the prediction of benefit from chemotherapy. CAFs in the tumour microenvironment might have an impact on the prognosis of CRC patients via inhibiting immune response
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